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Reported Confidence: medium B · Vertically integrated AI infrastructure

Crusoe

Vertically integrated 'AI factory' company: develops energy-first data-center campuses (Abilene Stargate, Wyoming), builds modular Spark units, and runs Crusoe Cloud.

www.crusoe.ai · Record collected 25 Sept 2026

Profile from NeoCloud Observatory research (snapshot 2026-09-25); every figure links to its original source.

Business model and differentiation text: NeoCloud Observatory research (analysis, not HYBSIS assessment).

Profile

Headquarters
Denver, Colorado, United States
Founded
2018
Ownership
private
Operating regions
North America
Deployment model
infrastructure development, wholesale datacenter capacity, dedicated clusters, inference as a service, bitcoin mining
GPU vendors
NVIDIA
GPU generations
NVIDIA Blackwell
Networking
NVIDIA Quantum-2 InfiniBand
Storage
VAST Data filesystem
Cooling
Direct-to-chip liquid cooling (Abilene)
Energy strategy
controlled — Energy-first model; onsite power plant at Microsoft Abilene campus; Tallgrass partnership in Wyoming.
Platform / control plane
AutoClusters (Slurm- and Kubernetes-compatible, auto remediation), Crusoe Managed Kubernetes, Crusoe Managed Inference (MemoryAlloy cluster-wide KV cache), NVIDIA DCGM + proprietary monitoring
Business model
Energy-first AI campuses built for hyperscalers/labs (Abilene for Oracle/OpenAI and Microsoft) and Crusoe Cloud GPU clusters with managed inference.
Differentiation
Time-to-power: Crusoe secures power (incl. onsite generation) and builds fast at GW scale.

Sources: Contrary Research — Report: Crusoe Business Breakdown & Founding Story, Crusoe — Crusoe Raises $3.9B Series F at a $30.9B Valuation

Capacity register

Each sourced figure with its maturity and MW type. Figures of different types are not added together.

MWMaturityMW typeAs ofStatus & source
4,900contractedunspecified9 Jun 2026
Announced Confidence: high

Contracted AI infrastructure capacity across data-center projects and Crusoe Cloud.

Source: Crusoe — Crusoe's Contracted AI Infrastructure Capacity Approaches 5 Gigawatts
40,000speculativepower pipeline9 Jun 2026
Estimated Confidence: high

Company-stated total development pipeline >40 GW incl. sites in negotiation/advanced development. Not capacity.

Source: Crusoe — Crusoe's Contracted AI Infrastructure Capacity Approaches 5 Gigawatts

Projects

ProjectLocationStatusCapacity
Abilene Stargate campus (Crusoe / Oracle / OpenAI)

Phase 2 (six additional buildings) expected completion by end of 2026. Participants: Oracle (tenant), OpenAI (end customer). Source: NeoCloud Observatory research.

Sources: Crusoe — Crusoe Announces Flagship Abilene Data Center is Live, Epoch AI — OpenAI Stargate: where the US sites stand
Abilene, Texas, United States under construction 1,200 MW (facility, under construction)
Crusoe Abilene AI factory campus for Microsoft

Two new buildings and an onsite power plant. Participants: Microsoft (tenant). Source: NeoCloud Observatory research.

Source: Crusoe — Crusoe builds 900 MW Abilene campus for Microsoft
Abilene, Texas, United States under construction 900 MW (unspecified, contracted)
Crusoe / Tallgrass Cheyenne AI campus

Local approval granted (DCD). Participants: Tallgrass (partner). Source: NeoCloud Observatory research.

Source: DatacenterDynamics — Crusoe gets go-ahead for 1.8GW data center campus and power plant in Cheyenne, Wyoming
Cheyenne, Wyoming, United States permitting 1,800 MW (facility, announced)

Disclosed customer contracts

CustomerValueBasisTermDateStatus & source
Jane Streetfinancial$13.0BTotal contract value5 yr1 Jun 2026signed

Reported by third-party research; date approximate; not confirmed by a primary source in this snapshot.

Source: Sacra — Crusoe revenue, valuation & funding
Microsofthyperscaler—Undisclosed—27 Mar 2026signed Source: Crusoe — Crusoe builds 900 MW Abilene campus for Microsoft
Oracle / OpenAI (Stargate Abilene)hyperscaler—Undisclosed—30 Sept 2025signed Source: Crusoe — Crusoe Announces Flagship Abilene Data Center is Live

Financing & M&A

DateTypeAmountDetail
17 Sept 2026 equity $3.9B Crusoe — Series F (initial close)

Investors: Atreides Management, Mubadala Capital, Valor Equity Partners, Founders Fund, GIC, NVIDIA, Qatar Investment Authority, Radical Ventures, TPG

Source: Crusoe — Crusoe Raises $3.9B Series F at a $30.9B Valuation
3 Sept 2026 equity $3.0B Crusoe — Series F (reported) (reported discussion) Source: Bloomberg — Crusoe Raises Over $3 Billion in Funding at $30 Billion Valuation
23 Oct 2025 equity $1.4B Crusoe — Series E (initial close) 'over $10B' valuation. Source: Crusoe — Crusoe raises $1.375B at $10B valuation
12 Dec 2024 equity $600.0M Crusoe — Series D Source: Crusoe — Crusoe closes $600M Series D at $2.8B valuation

Neocloud Observatory

Evidence-scored analysis

Category B · Vertically Integrated AI Infrastructure · data quality 66.3/100 · snapshot 25 Sept 2026

Capacity by maturity (MW)

Each stage is reported separately and never added together. Announced GPUs never count as operational.

  • Operational Unknown
  • Under construction 1,200 MW
  • Contracted 4,900 MW
  • Secured Unknown
  • Announced 1,800 MW
  • Stated pipeline 40,000 MW
  • Company target Unknown
GPUs operational
Unknown
GPUs contracted
Unknown
GPUs announced
Unknown

GPU platforms: NVIDIA GB200 NVL72

Financial position

Annualised revenue
Unknown
Revenue growth (YoY)
Unknown
Backlog
Unknown
Disclosed contract value
$13B
Valuationpost money funding valuation
$30.9B
Equity raised (captured)
$5.9B
Debt raised (captured)
Unknown
Total debt (reported)
Unknown
Hyperscaler credit supportnot cash raised
Unknown

Scorecard

score-v1.0 · 0–100 · scores with under 34% evidence coverage stay empty

Business Model Quality 63

evidence coverage 75%

  • contracted revenue model: 45 (weight 0.4) — spot/on-demand oriented
  • model diversity: 88 (weight 0.2) — infrastructure_development, wholesale_datacenter_capacity, dedicated_clusters, inference_as_a_service
  • margin: unknown (weight 0.25) — no margin data
  • software upside: 75 (weight 0.15) — 5 software layers
Capital Access 79

evidence coverage 90%

  • total capital raised: 73 (weight 0.3) — $5.88B equity+debt captured
  • raised last 12m: 76 (weight 0.25) — $5.28B in 12m
  • valuation: 83 (weight 0.2) — post_money_funding_valuation valuation $30.90B
  • strategic backers: 90 (weight 0.15) — NVIDIA/AMD investor or hyperscaler credit support
  • cost of debt: unknown (weight 0.1) — no rate disclosed
Competitive Moat 80

evidence coverage 100%

  • physical control: 90 (weight 0.3) — power/land/DC control
  • software depth: 80 (weight 0.25) — 5 software layers
  • contracted lock in: 71 (weight 0.25) — backlog/contract value $13.00B
  • operational reputation: 75 (weight 0.2) — Gold (ClusterMAX 2.0)
Concentration Risk (higher = riskier) Insufficient evidence

evidence coverage 20%

  • top customer share: unknown (weight 0.8) — UNKNOWN
  • few customers: 40 (weight 0.2) — 3 disclosed customers
Customer Diversification 60

evidence coverage 40%

  • top customer share: unknown (weight 0.6) — concentration UNKNOWN
  • distinct customers: 60 (weight 0.4) — 3 disclosed customer relationships
Customer Quality 78

evidence coverage 100%

  • hyperscaler or lab: 85 (weight 0.5) — hyperscaler or AI-lab customer
  • contracted value: 71 (weight 0.5) — disclosed contract value $13.00B
Execution Risk (higher = riskier) 68

evidence coverage 100%

  • build to operating ratio: 100 (weight 0.45) — 6,100 MW to build vs 0 MW operating
  • soft pipeline share: 87 (weight 0.25) — 41,800 MW secured/announced/speculative
  • organisational youth: 4 (weight 0.3) — founded 2018
Financial Durability 66

evidence coverage 60%

  • revenue scale: 70 (weight 0.3) — annualised revenue $2.00B (reported projection)
  • net margin: unknown (weight 0.2) — no margin data
  • cash: unknown (weight 0.2) — cash UNKNOWN
  • backlog coverage: 73 (weight 0.2) — backlog/revenue 6.5x
  • public disclosure: 40 (weight 0.1) — private
Financial Risk (higher = riskier) 41

evidence coverage 40%

  • losses: unknown (weight 0.3) — no margin data
  • debt to revenue: unknown (weight 0.3) — no debt/revenue data
  • reliance on new capital: 47 (weight 0.25) — 12m capital raised / revenue 2.6x
  • revenue scale inverse: 30 (weight 0.15) — revenue $2.00B
Geographic Position 29

evidence coverage 100%

  • countries: 18 (weight 0.6) — United States
  • sovereign positioning: 45 (weight 0.4) — no sovereign positioning
GPU Supply Position 93

evidence coverage 60%

  • gpu fleet and contracted: unknown (weight 0.4) — 0 GPUs operational+contracted
  • vendor relationship: 95 (weight 0.3) — NVIDIA investor/Exemplar
  • latest generation: 90 (weight 0.3) — NVIDIA GB200 NVL72
Growth Momentum 77

evidence coverage 60%

  • revenue growth yoy: unknown (weight 0.4) — no growth data
  • capacity momentum: 100 (weight 0.25) — 6,100 MW contracted/under construction
  • recent major events: 50 (weight 0.2) — 2 major confirmed events in 180d
  • capital raised 12m: 73 (weight 0.15) — raised $5.28B in 12m
Infrastructure Execution 27

evidence coverage 60%

  • delivered projects: 0 (weight 0.4) — 0/3 tracked projects (partially) operational
  • operational share of hard mw: unknown (weight 0.4) — 0 of 6,100 hard MW operational
  • building now: 80 (weight 0.2) — 2 under construction
Management Execution 50

evidence coverage 50%

  • delivered capacity: unknown (weight 0.5) — 0 MW delivered to date
  • milestones 180d: 50 (weight 0.3) — 2 confirmed major milestones (180d)
  • disclosure discipline: 50 (weight 0.2) — private
Operational Capacity Insufficient evidence

evidence coverage 0%

  • operational mw: unknown (weight 0.65) — operational MW UNKNOWN
  • operational gpus: unknown (weight 0.35) — operational GPUs UNKNOWN
Power Pipeline Quality 72

evidence coverage 100%

  • weighted pipeline mw: 100 (weight 0.5) — ladder-weighted 6,930 MW
  • hard share: 13 (weight 0.3) — 13% of stated MW is operational/under construction/contracted
  • physical power control: 90 (weight 0.2) — physical-layer control 90/100
Software Platform Maturity 84

evidence coverage 100%

  • software layers: 80 (weight 0.5) — inference, kubernetes, observability, scheduler, storage
  • software control: 100 (weight 0.25) — software-layer control 100/100
  • independent rating: 75 (weight 0.25) — Gold (ClusterMAX 2.0)
Strategic Partnerships 92

evidence coverage 100%

  • vendor equity: 95 (weight 0.4) — NVIDIA investor
  • hyperscaler ties: 90 (weight 0.4) — hyperscaler customer or credit backstop
  • exemplar or rating: 90 (weight 0.2) — NVIDIA Exemplar / top ClusterMAX
Technical Differentiation 75

evidence coverage 100%

  • differentiators: 75 (weight 0.7) — liquid/immersion cooling, controls power/land, deep software stack
  • independent rating: 75 (weight 0.3) — Gold (ClusterMAX 2.0)
Technical Strength 83

evidence coverage 85%

  • independent rating: 75 (weight 0.45) — Gold (ClusterMAX 2.0)
  • exemplar cloud: unknown (weight 0.15) — n/a
  • fabric evidence: 80 (weight 0.15) — InfiniBand fabric evidenced
  • stack documentation: 100 (weight 0.25) — 10 technology layers evidenced
Vertical Integration 93

evidence coverage 100%

  • stack control: 93 (weight 1) — 12 of 12 layers evidenced; 0 UNKNOWN
Career Opportunity 75

evidence coverage 93%

  • growth momentum: 77 (weight 0.2) — Growth Momentum
  • capital access: 79 (weight 0.15) — Capital Access
  • technical strength: 83 (weight 0.12) — Technical Strength
  • software platform maturity: 84 (weight 0.12) — Software Platform Maturity
  • power pipeline quality: 72 (weight 0.1) — Power Pipeline Quality
  • geographic position: 29 (weight 0.06) — Geographic Position
  • strategic partnerships: 92 (weight 0.08) — Strategic Partnerships
  • hiring: unknown (weight 0.07) — open roles (public boards)
  • inv financial risk: 60 (weight 0.1) — 100 - financial risk
Data Quality 66

evidence coverage 71%

  • dq coverage: unknown (weight 0) — 0.706
  • dq avg confidence: unknown (weight 0) — 0.639
  • dq primary source pct: unknown (weight 0) — 0.353
  • dq freshness days: unknown (weight 0) — 0
  • dq conflicts: unknown (weight 0) — 0
  • dq missing count: unknown (weight 0) — 5
Worth Investigating? (not investment advice) 74

evidence coverage 92%

  • growth momentum: 77 (weight 0.18) — Growth Momentum
  • technical differentiation: 75 (weight 0.12) — Technical Differentiation
  • customer quality: 78 (weight 0.12) — Customer Quality
  • power pipeline quality: 72 (weight 0.12) — Power Pipeline Quality
  • capital access: 79 (weight 0.12) — Capital Access
  • strategic partnerships: 92 (weight 0.1) — Strategic Partnerships
  • technical strength: 83 (weight 0.08) — Technical Strength
  • infrastructure execution: 27 (weight 0.08) — Infrastructure Execution
  • operational capacity: unknown (weight 0.08) — Operational Capacity
  • novelty bonus: 0 (weight 0.3) — company ≤3 years old
Overall Scale Potential 78

evidence coverage 85%

  • power pipeline quality: 72 (weight 0.3)
  • capital access: 79 (weight 0.25)
  • customer quality: 78 (weight 0.2)
  • operational capacity: unknown (weight 0.15)
  • vertical integration: 93 (weight 0.1)
Overall Survival Probability (5y, %) 90

evidence coverage 63%

  • model: unknown (weight 1) — logistic(durability, capital access, customer quality, risks)

Forecasts (rule-based, P10–P90)

HorizonOperational MWAnnualised revenue
12 months 2,410 MW (1,280 MW–3,970 MW) Unknown
24 months 4,430 MW (2,840 MW–6,850 MW) Unknown
36 months 6,115 MW (3,605 MW–9,180 MW) Unknown
60 months 7,704 MW (4,525 MW–12,250 MW) Unknown

Stored in an immutable prediction ledger and scored against reported outcomes when they fall due. Predictions, not facts.

Outcome probabilities

Outcome12 mo24 mo36 mo60 mo
Remain independent91%83%75%60%
Acquired6%12%17%27%
Merge1%2%3%5%
Fail2%3%5%8%
IPO19%34%47%65%
Acquire another company12%23%32%47%
Financial distress3%5%8%12%
Major cloud scale (≥2 GW operational or ≥$10B revenue)39%56%58%58%
Remain niche59%40%37%34%
Strategic pivot15%20%25%35%
Exit AI infrastructure1%2%3%5%

Ownership outcomes (independent, acquired, merge, fail) sum to 100% at each horizon; the others are independent events.

Vertical-integration stack

  • energy CONTROLLED Energy-first model; onsite power plant at Microsoft Abilene campus; Tallgrass partnership in Wyoming. (inferred)
  • land CONTROLLED Campus developer (Abilene, Cheyenne). (inferred)
  • data center OWNED Designs and constructs campuses (often in JV/with financial partners). (inferred)
  • power cooling OWNED Self-designed liquid-cooled halls. (inferred)
  • gpu hardware OWNED Crusoe Cloud fleet; at Stargate the GPUs belong to Oracle. (inferred)
  • network OWNED Crusoe Cloud InfiniBand fabrics. (inferred)
  • storage PARTNERED VAST Data. (inferred)
  • bare metal OWNED Crusoe Cloud. (inferred)
  • orchestration OWNED AutoClusters, managed K8s. (inferred)
  • cloud api OWNED Crusoe Cloud APIs. (inferred)
  • ai platform OWNED Intelligence Foundry. (inferred)
  • managed ai OWNED Managed inference. (inferred)

Not yet sourced: revenue run rate, power mw.operational, gpu count, cash, employees.

Timeline

  1. 17 Sept 2026 · equity

    Crusoe — Series F (initial close)

    Source: Crusoe — Crusoe Raises $3.9B Series F at a $30.9B Valuation
  2. 3 Sept 2026 · equity

    Crusoe — Series F (reported) (reported discussion)

    Source: Bloomberg — Crusoe Raises Over $3 Billion in Funding at $30 Billion Valuation
  3. 9 Jun 2026 · fact

    Crusoe contracted AI infrastructure approaches 5 GW (4.9 GW)

    Source: Crusoe — Crusoe's Contracted AI Infrastructure Capacity Approaches 5 Gigawatts
  4. 27 Mar 2026 · project

    Crusoe Abilene AI factory campus for Microsoft (under construction)

    Source: Crusoe — Crusoe builds 900 MW Abilene campus for Microsoft
  5. 27 Mar 2026 · fact

    Crusoe announces 900 MW Abilene AI factory campus for Microsoft

    Source: Crusoe — Crusoe builds 900 MW Abilene campus for Microsoft
  6. 23 Oct 2025 · equity

    Crusoe — Series E (initial close) 'over $10B' valuation.

    Source: Crusoe — Crusoe raises $1.375B at $10B valuation
  7. 30 Sept 2025 · fact

    Crusoe's flagship Abilene (Stargate) data center goes live

    Source: Crusoe — Crusoe Announces Flagship Abilene Data Center is Live
  8. 1 Jul 2025 · project

    Crusoe / Tallgrass Cheyenne AI campus (permitting)

    Source: DatacenterDynamics — Crusoe gets go-ahead for 1.8GW data center campus and power plant in Cheyenne, Wyoming
  9. 12 Dec 2024 · equity

    Crusoe — Series D

    Source: Crusoe — Crusoe closes $600M Series D at $2.8B valuation
  10. 1 Jun 2024 · project

    Abilene Stargate campus (Crusoe / Oracle / OpenAI) (under construction)

    Sources: Crusoe — Crusoe Announces Flagship Abilene Data Center is Live, Epoch AI — OpenAI Stargate: where the US sites stand

Recent coverage

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 11:54 UTC

  1. 22 Oct 2026 Data Centre

    Crusoe signs on for Polar DC's upcoming 40MW data center in Norway

    Will be located at Polar's Tørdal campus

    DatacenterDynamics

  2. 9 Oct 2026 NeoCloud

    Crusoe Pledges $50M in Compute Credits to White House AI Science Initiative

    WASHINGTON, Oct. 8, 2026 — Crusoe today announced a $50 million commitment in high-performance AI compute credits over three years to support the Genesis Mission Consortium. Crusoe Co-Founder and CEO Chase Lochmiller announced the pledge at the White House Science: A New Golden Age Summit alongside federal science…

    HPCwire

  3. 2 Oct 2026 Data Centre

    Crusoe files for $4.8bn data center campus in Jayton, Texas

    Will feature two data centers, likely connected to project in Childress

    DatacenterDynamics

  4. 29 Sept 2026 Data Centre

    Crusoe named developer of Google’s Armstrong County data center campus

    Crusoe, a company building AI factories, has announced that it is the developer of Google’s new data center campus being built in Armstrong County outside of Amarillo, Texas. The campus is Crusoe’s latest in West Texas, joining two others under development in Abilene. Construction of the data center campus began in…

    W.Media