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Reported Confidence: medium A · Pure-play Neocloud

Fluidstack

London-founded AI cloud that operates large GPU/TPU clusters for frontier labs (Anthropic, Google-backed deals) largely in third-party-built campuses (TeraWulf, Cipher, Hut 8) with Google credit backstops.

www.fluidstack.io · Record collected 25 Sept 2026

Profile from NeoCloud Observatory research (snapshot 2026-09-25); every figure links to its original source.

Business model and differentiation text: NeoCloud Observatory research (analysis, not HYBSIS assessment).

Profile

Headquarters
London, United Kingdom
Founded
2017
Ownership
private
Operating regions
Europe
Deployment model
managed ai infrastructure, infrastructure development, gpu hour rental
GPU vendors
NVIDIA, Google TPU
GPU generations
NVIDIA Ampere, NVIDIA Hopper
Networking
Not yet recorded
Storage
Not yet recorded
Cooling
Not yet recorded
Energy strategy
third party — Landlords (former miners) supply power.
Platform / control plane
Not yet recorded
Business model
Operation of very large dedicated AI clusters for frontier labs; increasingly design/build of AI campuses.
Differentiation
Speed: 'gigawatt-scale capacity in six months' (company claim) using miners' powered shells; Google credit backstops make leases financeable.

Sources: Tracxn — FluidStack - 2026 Company Profile, Forbes — Fluidstack Hit A $18 Billion Valuation By Helping Build Google and Anthropic's Data Centers

Capacity register

Each sourced figure with its maturity and MW type. Figures of different types are not added together.

MWMaturityMW typeAs ofStatus & source
360contractedit load10 Aug 2026
Announced Confidence: high

Lake Mariner (TeraWulf) contracted critical IT for Fluidstack.

Source: SEC EDGAR — TeraWulf Q2 2026 earnings release (8-K)
300contractedit load3 Nov 2025
Announced Confidence: medium

Barber Lake (Cipher) — full site leased.

Source: DatacenterDynamics — AWS signs 300MW hosting deal with Cipher Mining (incl. Fluidstack Barber Lake context)
245contractedit load17 Dec 2025
Announced Confidence: high

River Bend (Hut 8), first hall Q2 2027.

Source: PR Newswire (Hut 8) — Hut 8 Signs 15-Year, 245 MW AI Data Center Lease at River Bend Campus ($7.0B)

Projects

ProjectLocationStatusCapacity
Fluidstack 1 GW AI supercomputer (France)

MoU; go-live targeted 2026, scale beyond 1 GW by 2028. Participants: Government of France (partner). Source: NeoCloud Observatory research.

Source: Business Wire (Fluidstack) — Fluidstack to Build 1GW AI Supercomputer in France
France announced 1,000 MW (unspecified, announced)

Disclosed customer contracts

CustomerValueBasisTermDateStatus & source
Anthropicai lab$50.0BProgramme—12 Nov 2025announced

$50B US data-center program by Anthropic with Fluidstack; sites coming online through 2026.

Source: Yahoo Finance — Anthropic announces $50 billion data center plan
Government of Francegovernment$10.4BProgramme—10 Feb 2025announced

MoU; €10B phase one; 1 GW; ~500k chips.

Source: Business Wire (Fluidstack) — Fluidstack to Build 1GW AI Supercomputer in France

Financing & M&A

DateTypeAmountDetail
3 Sept 2026 equity $1.5B Fluidstack — Series B

Investors: Jane Street

Source: Forbes — Fluidstack Hit A $18 Billion Valuation By Helping Build Google and Anthropic's Data Centers
10 Aug 2026 debt $3.2B Fluidstack — Google lease backstops (TeraWulf Lake Mariner, total) Source: SEC EDGAR — TeraWulf Q2 2026 earnings release (8-K)
20 Jul 2026 equity $830.0M Fluidstack — Series A

Investors: Situational Awareness

Source: Fluidstack — Fluidstack raised $830M Series A
14 Apr 2026 equity $1.0B Fluidstack — Series B (reported talks) (reported discussion) Source: TechCrunch — Fluidstack in talks for $1B round at $18B valuation
9 Apr 2026 equity $750.0M Fluidstack — Round (aggregator report) Conflicts with company release ($830M at $7.5B). Source: Caproasia — Fluidstack Raised $750 Million at $7 Billion Valuation
25 Sept 2025 debt $1.4B Fluidstack — Google lease backstop (Cipher Barber Lake) Google backstops Fluidstack lease obligations; receives Cipher warrants. Source: Cipher Mining — Cipher Mining Signs Hosting Agreement with Fluidstack (Sept 25, 2025)

Neocloud Observatory

Evidence-scored analysis

Category A · Pure-play Neocloud · data quality 61.3/100 · snapshot 25 Sept 2026

Capacity by maturity (MW)

Each stage is reported separately and never added together. Announced GPUs never count as operational.

  • Operational Unknown
  • Under construction Unknown
  • Contracted 360 MW
  • Secured Unknown
  • Announced 1,000 MW
  • Stated pipeline Unknown
  • Company target Unknown
GPUs operational
Unknown
GPUs contracted
Unknown
GPUs announced
Unknown

GPU platforms: Google TPU (reported partnership with Google) · NVIDIA GPUs (A100/H100 historically)

Financial position

Annualised revenueDERIVED: FY2025 annualised
$200M
Revenue growth (YoY)
Unknown
Backlog
Unknown
Disclosed contract value
Unknown
Valuationpost money funding valuation
$18B
Equity raised (captured)
$3.1B
Debt raised (captured)
Unknown
Total debt (reported)
Unknown
Hyperscaler credit supportnot cash raised
$4.6B

Scorecard

score-v1.0 · 0–100 · scores with under 34% evidence coverage stay empty

Business Model Quality 42

evidence coverage 75%

  • contracted revenue model: 45 (weight 0.4) — spot/on-demand oriented
  • model diversity: 66 (weight 0.2) — managed_ai_infrastructure, infrastructure_development, gpu_hour_rental
  • margin: unknown (weight 0.25) — no margin data
  • software upside: 0 (weight 0.15) — 0 software layers
Capital Access 72

evidence coverage 90%

  • total capital raised: 64 (weight 0.3) — $3.08B equity+debt captured
  • raised last 12m: 69 (weight 0.25) — $3.08B in 12m
  • valuation: 75 (weight 0.2) — post_money_funding_valuation valuation $18.00B
  • strategic backers: 90 (weight 0.15) — NVIDIA/AMD investor or hyperscaler credit support
  • cost of debt: unknown (weight 0.1) — no rate disclosed
Competitive Moat 16

evidence coverage 55%

  • physical control: 29 (weight 0.3) — power/land/DC control
  • software depth: 0 (weight 0.25) — 0 software layers
  • contracted lock in: unknown (weight 0.25) — backlog/contract value UNKNOWN
  • operational reputation: unknown (weight 0.2) — not rated
Concentration Risk (higher = riskier) Insufficient evidence

evidence coverage 20%

  • top customer share: unknown (weight 0.8) — UNKNOWN
  • few customers: 60 (weight 0.2) — 2 disclosed customers
Customer Diversification 40

evidence coverage 40%

  • top customer share: unknown (weight 0.6) — concentration UNKNOWN
  • distinct customers: 40 (weight 0.4) — 2 disclosed customer relationships
Customer Quality 85

evidence coverage 50%

  • hyperscaler or lab: 85 (weight 0.5) — hyperscaler or AI-lab customer
  • contracted value: unknown (weight 0.5) — disclosed contract value UNKNOWN
Execution Risk (higher = riskier) 63

evidence coverage 100%

  • build to operating ratio: 100 (weight 0.45) — 360 MW to build vs 0 MW operating
  • soft pipeline share: 74 (weight 0.25) — 1,000 MW secured/announced/speculative
  • organisational youth: 0 (weight 0.3) — founded 2017
Financial Durability 40

evidence coverage 40%

  • revenue scale: 39 (weight 0.3) — annualised revenue $200M (DERIVED: FY2025 annualised)
  • net margin: unknown (weight 0.2) — no margin data
  • cash: unknown (weight 0.2) — cash UNKNOWN
  • backlog coverage: unknown (weight 0.2) — no backlog/revenue
  • public disclosure: 40 (weight 0.1) — private
Financial Risk (higher = riskier) 85

evidence coverage 40%

  • losses: unknown (weight 0.3) — no margin data
  • debt to revenue: unknown (weight 0.3) — no debt/revenue data
  • reliance on new capital: 100 (weight 0.25) — 12m capital raised / revenue 15.4x
  • revenue scale inverse: 61 (weight 0.15) — revenue $200M
Geographic Position 40

evidence coverage 100%

  • countries: 36 (weight 0.6) — France, United Kingdom
  • sovereign positioning: 45 (weight 0.4) — no sovereign positioning
GPU Supply Position 45

evidence coverage 60%

  • gpu fleet and contracted: unknown (weight 0.4) — 0 GPUs operational+contracted
  • vendor relationship: 50 (weight 0.3) — no strategic vendor tie evidenced
  • latest generation: 40 (weight 0.3) — Google TPU (reported partnership with Google), NVIDIA GPUs (A100/H100 historically)
Growth Momentum 55

evidence coverage 60%

  • revenue growth yoy: unknown (weight 0.4) — no growth data
  • capacity momentum: 52 (weight 0.25) — 360 MW contracted/under construction
  • recent major events: 50 (weight 0.2) — 2 major confirmed events in 180d
  • capital raised 12m: 64 (weight 0.15) — raised $3.08B in 12m
Infrastructure Execution 13

evidence coverage 60%

  • delivered projects: 0 (weight 0.4) — 0/1 tracked projects (partially) operational
  • operational share of hard mw: unknown (weight 0.4) — 0 of 360 hard MW operational
  • building now: 40 (weight 0.2) — 0 under construction
Management Execution 50

evidence coverage 50%

  • delivered capacity: unknown (weight 0.5) — 0 MW delivered to date
  • milestones 180d: 50 (weight 0.3) — 2 confirmed major milestones (180d)
  • disclosure discipline: 50 (weight 0.2) — private
Operational Capacity Insufficient evidence

evidence coverage 0%

  • operational mw: unknown (weight 0.65) — operational MW UNKNOWN
  • operational gpus: unknown (weight 0.35) — operational GPUs UNKNOWN
Power Pipeline Quality 45

evidence coverage 100%

  • weighted pipeline mw: 63 (weight 0.5) — ladder-weighted 552 MW
  • hard share: 27 (weight 0.3) — 26% of stated MW is operational/under construction/contracted
  • physical power control: 29 (weight 0.2) — physical-layer control 29/100
Software Platform Maturity 33

evidence coverage 75%

  • software layers: 0 (weight 0.5) — none evidenced
  • software control: 100 (weight 0.25) — software-layer control 100/100
  • independent rating: unknown (weight 0.25) — not rated
Strategic Partnerships 60

evidence coverage 80%

  • vendor equity: 30 (weight 0.4) — no vendor equity evidenced
  • hyperscaler ties: 90 (weight 0.4) — hyperscaler customer or credit backstop
  • exemplar or rating: unknown (weight 0.2) — n/a
Technical Differentiation 0

evidence coverage 70%

  • differentiators: 0 (weight 0.7) — no clear differentiator evidenced
  • independent rating: unknown (weight 0.3) — not rated
Technical Strength Insufficient evidence

evidence coverage 25%

  • independent rating: unknown (weight 0.45) — not rated
  • exemplar cloud: unknown (weight 0.15) — n/a
  • fabric evidence: unknown (weight 0.15) — fabric UNKNOWN
  • stack documentation: 36 (weight 0.25) — 3 technology layers evidenced
Vertical Integration 52

evidence coverage 100%

  • stack control: 52 (weight 1) — 7 of 12 layers evidenced; 5 UNKNOWN
Career Opportunity 48

evidence coverage 81%

  • growth momentum: 55 (weight 0.2) — Growth Momentum
  • capital access: 72 (weight 0.15) — Capital Access
  • technical strength: unknown (weight 0.12) — Technical Strength
  • software platform maturity: 33 (weight 0.12) — Software Platform Maturity
  • power pipeline quality: 45 (weight 0.1) — Power Pipeline Quality
  • geographic position: 40 (weight 0.06) — Geographic Position
  • strategic partnerships: 60 (weight 0.08) — Strategic Partnerships
  • hiring: unknown (weight 0.07) — open roles (public boards)
  • inv financial risk: 15 (weight 0.1) — 100 - financial risk
Data Quality 61

evidence coverage 71%

  • dq coverage: unknown (weight 0) — 0.706
  • dq avg confidence: unknown (weight 0) — 0.624
  • dq primary source pct: unknown (weight 0) — 0.125
  • dq freshness days: unknown (weight 0) — 0
  • dq conflicts: unknown (weight 0) — 0
  • dq missing count: unknown (weight 0) — 5
Worth Investigating? (not investment advice) 49

evidence coverage 84%

  • growth momentum: 55 (weight 0.18) — Growth Momentum
  • technical differentiation: 0 (weight 0.12) — Technical Differentiation
  • customer quality: 85 (weight 0.12) — Customer Quality
  • power pipeline quality: 45 (weight 0.12) — Power Pipeline Quality
  • capital access: 72 (weight 0.12) — Capital Access
  • strategic partnerships: 60 (weight 0.1) — Strategic Partnerships
  • technical strength: unknown (weight 0.08) — Technical Strength
  • infrastructure execution: 13 (weight 0.08) — Infrastructure Execution
  • operational capacity: unknown (weight 0.08) — Operational Capacity
  • novelty bonus: 0 (weight 0.3) — company ≤3 years old
Overall Scale Potential 63

evidence coverage 85%

  • power pipeline quality: 45 (weight 0.3)
  • capital access: 72 (weight 0.25)
  • customer quality: 85 (weight 0.2)
  • operational capacity: unknown (weight 0.15)
  • vertical integration: 52 (weight 0.1)
Overall Survival Probability (5y, %) 63

evidence coverage 57%

  • model: unknown (weight 1) — logistic(durability, capital access, customer quality, risks)

Forecasts (rule-based, P10–P90)

HorizonOperational MWAnnualised revenue
12 months 194 MW (72 MW–366 MW) $360M ($272M–$416M)
24 months 452 MW (230 MW–724 MW) $529.1M ($329.5M–$679.7M)
36 months 656 MW (334 MW–960 MW) $699M ($377.1M–$974.4M)
60 months 774 MW (420 MW–1,110 MW) $1.1B ($462.7M–$1.7B)

Stored in an immutable prediction ledger and scored against reported outcomes when they fall due. Predictions, not facts.

Outcome probabilities

Outcome12 mo24 mo36 mo60 mo
Remain independent87%75%63%42%
Acquired6%12%17%27%
Merge1%2%3%5%
Fail6%12%17%27%
IPO19%34%47%65%
Acquire another company12%23%32%47%
Financial distress14%26%36%52%
Major cloud scale (≥2 GW operational or ≥$10B revenue)0%0%0%0%
Remain niche94%88%83%73%
Strategic pivot5%10%15%25%
Exit AI infrastructure1%2%3%5%

Ownership outcomes (independent, acquired, merge, fail) sum to 100% at each horizon; the others are independent events.

Vertical-integration stack

  • energy THIRD PARTY Landlords (former miners) supply power. (inferred)
  • land LEASED 10-15 yr leases. (inferred)
  • data center LEASED Powered shells built by landlords to spec. (inferred)
  • power cooling LEASED Delivered by landlords. (inferred)
  • gpu hardware PARTNERED Reports describe Fluidstack 'owning zero chips' (customer-owned hardware). (inferred)
  • network UNKNOWN Not captured. (inferred)
  • storage UNKNOWN Not captured. (inferred)
  • bare metal OWNED Operates clusters. (inferred)
  • orchestration UNKNOWN Not captured. (inferred)
  • cloud api OWNED Historic GPU cloud/marketplace. (inferred)
  • ai platform UNKNOWN Not captured. (inferred)
  • managed ai UNKNOWN Not captured. (inferred)

Not yet sourced: power mw.operational, gpu count, cash, backlog, employees.

Timeline

  1. 3 Sept 2026 · equity

    Fluidstack — Series B

    Source: Forbes — Fluidstack Hit A $18 Billion Valuation By Helping Build Google and Anthropic's Data Centers
  2. 10 Aug 2026 · debt

    Fluidstack — Google lease backstops (TeraWulf Lake Mariner, total)

    Source: SEC EDGAR — TeraWulf Q2 2026 earnings release (8-K)
  3. 20 Jul 2026 · equity

    Fluidstack — Series A

    Source: Fluidstack — Fluidstack raised $830M Series A
  4. 14 Apr 2026 · equity

    Fluidstack — Series B (reported talks) (reported discussion)

    Source: TechCrunch — Fluidstack in talks for $1B round at $18B valuation
  5. 9 Apr 2026 · equity

    Fluidstack — Round (aggregator report) Conflicts with company release ($830M at $7.5B).

    Source: Caproasia — Fluidstack Raised $750 Million at $7 Billion Valuation
  6. 17 Dec 2025 · fact

    Hut 8 signs 15-year 245 MW lease with Fluidstack at River Bend ($7.0B)

    Source: PR Newswire (Hut 8) — Hut 8 Signs 15-Year, 245 MW AI Data Center Lease at River Bend Campus ($7.0B)
  7. 12 Nov 2025 · announcement

    Anthropic announces $50B US data-center plan with Fluidstack (Texas, New York)

    Source: Yahoo Finance — Anthropic announces $50 billion data center plan
  8. 25 Sept 2025 · debt

    Fluidstack — Google lease backstop (Cipher Barber Lake) Google backstops Fluidstack lease obligations; receives Cipher warrants.

    Source: Cipher Mining — Cipher Mining Signs Hosting Agreement with Fluidstack (Sept 25, 2025)
  9. 10 Feb 2025 · project

    Fluidstack 1 GW AI supercomputer (France) (announced)

    Source: Business Wire (Fluidstack) — Fluidstack to Build 1GW AI Supercomputer in France
  10. 10 Feb 2025 · announcement

    Fluidstack signs MoU with France for 1 GW AI supercomputer (€10B phase one)

    Source: Business Wire (Fluidstack) — Fluidstack to Build 1GW AI Supercomputer in France

Recent coverage

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 11:54 UTC

  1. 10 Oct 2026 Data Centre

    Cipher extends Barber Lake data center lease commitments to 20 years

    Fluidstack and unnamed AI lab agree lengthy leases

    DatacenterDynamics